Friday, March 27, 2026

The Beginning of Sorrows

The week ended on March 27, 2026, interesting news items to look at for the past fortnight are:

1. The Beginning of Sorrows: Pain is a vital, protective warning system, essential for survival, designed to detect, signal, and prevent damage to body tissues. Its primary purpose is to alert the brain to potential harm, prompting immediate action to avoid danger, and encouraging behavior that promotes healing

Iran has stood for the cause of the Palestinians for 45 years since 1979 yet only an extremely small minority of the global village was aware of the mass concentration camp conditions at Gaza until October 7 2023. But even after that sad jailbreak, Zionists’ experts of psychological warfare have applied the “Saturation Bombing” technique developed by the Tavistock Institute and soon enough we are all distracted and moved on to other matters that demanded our attention. Nevertheless, the “Ghost of Free Palestinian” and “Greater Israel” would not rest and is now moving onto the centre stage. The world is still without solutions because nothing has been done to rid the root of evil and the pain persists.  

Christine Lagarde, a person I seldom take seriously because of her pro American ideology at last made some sense when she talked about “the war shock is beyond our comprehension”. (Fig. 1).


Allow me to present to you a picture which summarizes the initial fallout of what a chokehold on Strait of Hormuz would impact the global economy. I totally agree with Lagarde, it is beyond most people’s imagination because it hits the global supply chain beyond just energy into all agricultural, mining to basic and high tech processes. (Fig. 2).

(i) An Eschatological Perspective: As a student of bible prophecy, I reject the claims of religious zealots (Jewish Zionists, Evangelical Zionists and Apocalyptic Jihadists) that their wars would accelerate the coming of their Messiah or al-Masih. However, no sane student of Geo-politics can ignore an understanding of the eschatological perspective of the actors in these wars if one wants to be prepared for the chaos that is upon us. In just 10 verses (Matthew 24:4 to 14), the bible foretold “the beginning of sorrows” to “the coming to the end”.  (Fig. 3).


Matthew 24:4  And Jesus answered and said to them: "Take heed that no one deceives you. 5  For many will come in My name, saying, 'I am the Christ,' and will deceive many.6  And you will hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not troubled; for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet. 7  For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. And there will be famines, pestilences, and earthquakes in various places. 8  All these are the beginning of sorrows.9  "Then they will deliver you up to tribulation and kill you, and you will be hated by all nations for My name's sake. 10  And then many will be offended, will betray one another, and will hate one another. 11  Then many false prophets will rise up and deceive many. 12  And because lawlessness will abound, the love of many will grow cold. 13  But he who endures to the end shall be saved. 14  And this gospel of the kingdom will be preached in all the world as a witness to all the nations, and then the end will come.  

(ii)  The Eschatological Sequence:  The Zionists/Iranian conflict falls into the category of wars and rumors of war. We are all troubled but the end is not yet. Is it just a US military excursion or a full scale war? Will there be a ground invasion or talks? Irrespective of which talking head is in front of the TV camera or social platform, my best guess is this conflict will last a long time but with interludes of stress and relative calm. The disruption to the global supply chain will lead to economic depression, hyperinflation, famines and pestilences.

(iii) The Political Leadership will collapse before The Military Machine: 903 days have lapsed since October 7 2023 and the IDF has not been able to eradicate Hamas. Remember Gaza is a small area of 140 square miles, totally surrounded and bombed to smithereens. (Fig. 4).


Now how long would it take for US to force Iran to bend the knee given Iran has a land area of 636,000 square miles, 93 million population and underground armory and munition factories that can produce thousands of missiles and hundred of thousands of drones annually. The answer is we will see the used by date of Trump and Natanyahu long before Iran’s. If I pessimistically assume Trump and Natanyahu’s self interest is more important than their National interests, then we would have difficult days ahead for another 6 months to 2 years until a respite arrives. I said before and will repeat again it is sufficient for Iran to defeat the presidency of Trump and Natanyahu and that will be the likely outcome of the current conflict.

(iv) Change of World Order: When the presidency of Trump ends, so too will be the Dollar Hegemony. The London/New York control of commodity pricing through financial derivatives too will crumble. This will be replaced by national champions of producers /users based on monopolistic /oligopolistic /oligosonic influences. Similar to water seeks its own level, capital and resources will flow to a region of stability and a new power structure will emerge. Few can imagine where this new power base will arise but biblical prophecy has already predicted where the power base will be located. I will provide this answer to those who asks less I annoy readers with no interests in the subject.

2. Financial Market Performance: Performance of various asset class for first 3 months of 2026 are as follows: (Fig. 5)


Brent Oil (+74.28%), Uranium (+16.52%), Gold (+4.02%), DXY (+1.85%), RMB (+1.18%), EUR (-1.92%), JPY (-2.12%), Silver (-2.67%), Hang Seng Index (-3.82%), Copper (-4.01%), S&P 500 (-7.74%), Nasdaq (-9.19%), Nvidia (-11.26%), JP Morgan (-12.94%), Bitcoin (-24.67%) and Microsoft (-26.5%).

In the same period 10 Year Treasury Notes Prices fell 1.83% while 30 Year Bond prices fell 1.08% indicating the US Bond Market been artificially propped up to avoid a financial panic from spreading to the wider market. There is any reason to doubt TACO is functioning as predicted.

Proverbs 16:18  Pride goes before destruction, And a haughty spirit before a fall.19  Better to be of a humble spirit with the lowly, Than to divide the spoil with the proud. 20  He who heeds the word wisely will find good, And whoever trusts in the LORD, happy is he. 21  The wise in heart will be called prudent, And sweetness of the lips increases learning. 22  Understanding is a wellspring of life to him who has it. But the correction of fools is folly. 23  The heart of the wise teaches his mouth, And adds learning to his lips. 

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Time is of the Essence

The week ended on March 13, 2026, interesting news items to look at for the past week are:

Time is of the Essence: "Time is of the essence" is a legal term in contracts meaning that performing obligations by the exact date or time specified is critical. This is even more so when applied to war. The mightiest military prepared for a 4 days mission will fall to a lesser power when the war is drawn out to a war of attrition. My analysis in this week's Blog is to examine the chips on the table for the Zionist/Iranian war with a view to what and when a possible conclusion may result. I will use Professor Jiang’s 4 dimensions of war to present my thesis. (Fig. 1)


(i) Narrative - Narrative is world opinion. On this count the unprovoked attack on Iran with a second decapitation strike using deceptive negotiations as a ploy means the Zionists will stand isolated from third party assistance. Another fatal mistake made by US in her haste for the pre-emptive strike was the bombing of a junior girls’ school with 180 deaths, the majority being school girls aged 7-12. The most convincing explanation was the school compound was selected through AI because the US Secretary of War overrode safeguards of human verification of target validity. There was a reason why Anthropic refused a lucrative contract with the Pentagon on grounds of refusal to allow Claude to be used for domestic mass surveillance and autonomous weapons systems that can kill people without human input. (Fig. 2).


It is common knowledge the IDF indiscriminate bombing in Gaza was on similar methodology. These war crimes will explode in the face of Zionists elites as antiwar sentiment rose from global economic hardships gradually developing on the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. We have to be aware that Zionists may counteract an adverse narrative by diversion through false flag acts of terrorism. This has happened in numerous occasions before, so be on guard.  

(ii) Political - There has been too many blunders by the Trump Administration and his predecessors. Tariff war on Liberation Day and derivative cost of living crisis, ICE killings of US citizens in dealing with illegal immigrants, Venezuela, Canada and Denmark and of course subjugation of MAGA to Zionists interests. All these have not endeared the Trump Administrations to national and international approvals. (Fig. 3).


Nonetheless, the US Mid Term election is months away and the world simply cannot survive another month if energy products continued with the current blockage. Someone will get thrown under the bus for reasons of war crimes as enunciated in the previous paragraph or impeachable offenses disclosed in the Epstein Files if a reset is deemed necessary. (Fig. 4).

Finger pointing already began at Pete Hegseth and let’s see if Trump would climb on the bus to the off ramp.

(iii)  Economic - The strategic and economic significance of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-El-Mandeb at the door of Iran and Yemen is well known to all students of Geo-politics. Both are gateways to 20%+ of global flow of Oil and Gas, Fertilizers and Container trades and have repeatedly been warned by Iran and Yemen as potential leverages in Middle East Wars. (Fig. 5).


Yet, it is exactly where the Trump Administration failed to pay attention. (Fig. 6).

It is ironic that US wants to grab control of the energy transit lever as a counterweight to China’s choke hold on rare earth that now manifested in Gulf energy is only allowed to flow to China but not US allies.  Proverb 16:18 “Pride goes before destruction, And a haughty spirit before a fall. ” (Fig. 7).
 

(iv)  Military - In the 8 years war between Iraq and Iran which began in 1980, Iran realized then she was fighting a proxy war against the Anglo American empire. When US turned on her attack dog Saddam Hussein in 2003, Iran knew she would meet with the same fate eventually. So for over 20 years, Iran;s theocracy has been preparing for a final combat with the sole superpower. To see this preparation in proper context, we first need to earmark some important data points on Iran:

(a) Iran land mass (Fig. 8) -  is about one fifth of the size of the lower 48 states (excluding Alaska and Hawaii) or the combined land area of 31 of US smallest states.


In March 2026, US sent between 4 to 7 B1 & B2  strategic bombers daily from US mainland or a UK airbase to strike Iran. These bombers all require mid air refueling using tankers like the KC135. Payload for these bombers varies from two 30,000 lbs ultra bunker busters to 16 bombs of 5,000 lbs each. Each mission is therefore 8 to 100 bombs dependant upon the mission objectives on a land mass equal to 31 States. Why from US mainland or UK? Well, Iran claims 70% of US Bases in the Middle East has already been destroyed. (Fig. 9).

An important data point is these refueling tankers were all originated from US mainland or Diego Garcia as supply of jet fuel in Europe and Gulf US Bases are under stress.  (Fig. 10)

(b)  Topography of Iran (Fig.11) -  Iran is a mountainous country, difficult to attack but easy to defend.


For over 20 years, key military installations of Iran are constructed as underground bases up to 500 meters deep. This precautionary measure at hind sight proved the forethought and care which the IRGC took in their war plans as bunker buster bombs would only be effective up to 60 meters. (Fig. 12, 13,14, 15 and 16)

show how missiles and drones are stored and operate and have been confirmed by western analysts. Alastair Crooke, ex UK Diplomat and Geo-political commentator described Iran’s 2000 Km coastline are like honeycombs of missiles tunnels and launchers.

As students of Geo-politics, how are we to evaluate a possible outcome of this war using Professor Jiang 4 dimensional analysis. Let’s examine again (i) the June 2025 Trump obliteration of Iranian’s enriched uranium was a hoax against a knowledge of Iran’s underground facility and (ii) the problems concerning logistics and efficacy of long range limited bombing and vulnerability of tanker refueling (Fig. 17),


(iii) the most recent strikes by US and Iran (Fig. 18)

- US could only reach certain targets on the west frank of Iran (Map on the Left) with Iranian strikes more well positioned. (Map on the Left). and finally (iv)  the character trait of TACO.

For the time being, not all the cards have been revealed but I have high hopes that the cards on the table would be similar to those I presented earlier and Armageddon is still sometimes off. (Fig. 19)


Luke 14:27  And whoever does not bear his cross and come after Me cannot be My disciple. 28  For which of you, intending to build a tower, does not sit down first and count the cost, whether he has enough to finish it 29  lest, after he has laid the foundation, and is not able to finish, all who see it begin to mock him, 30  saying, 'This man began to build and was not able to finish.' 31  Or what king, going to make war against another king, does not sit down first and consider whether he is able with ten thousand to meet him who comes against him with twenty thousand? 32  Or else, while the other is still a great way off, he sends a delegation and asks conditions of peace. 33  So likewise, whoever of you does not forsake all that he has cannot be My disciple. 

Saturday, March 7, 2026

You Shall Not Pass

The week ended on March 6, 2026, interesting news items to look at for the past week are

 

1. You Shall Not Pass: In the past week, there was one voice that broke through all the horrific sounds of bombings and sirens. A lone voice that was not broadcast on Trump’s Truth Social or any mass high tech platforms. A lone voice from a frail handicapped 86 years old man, spoke by his action before he was killed and the world heard aloud in all her different languages “YOU SHALL NOT PASS”. (Fig. 1)


For people who are only accustomed to equations that involved immediate cause and effect on the order of Newton Third Law of Motion, they may have missed the most important metaphysical vector in the Zionist/Iranian conflict. The metaphysical principle is captured in John 12:24 “Most assuredly, I say to you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the ground and dies, it remains alone; but if it dies, it produces much grain.” (Fig. 2).


Does anyone think Trump and Natanyahu can understand this Metaphysical Principle when they are so full of themselves, when they cannot clearly enunciate consistently the reasons behind the preemptive aggression.

Carl von Clausewitz, said "war is the continuation of politics with other means,". This means the success of a military campaign is dependent on whether it achieves the desired political end-state, rather than simply destroying the enemy's armed forces. 

After the first week, Iran has not won but US/Isreal has clearly been defeated in round one in terms of their stated objectives.

(i) A Logistical Nightmare - In the first week Israel/US has suffered irreparably damages to its regional military assets in terms of radar systems, air bases and naval ports that shook the foundations of sustainability of future military campaigns. Students of Geo-politics should recall since the mid 90’s due to budget constraints US has abandoned all her supply Tender Vessels program and can no longer restock warships munitions midstream. Without a resupply base in the Middle East and European bases being declined as an attack platform, the nearest Naval Base is British Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. (Fig. 3).


The current configuration of air defense against incoming sorties for Abraham Lincoln is 288 interceptor missiles and incoming strike, at least two interceptors will be used, Assuming 60 Iranian strikes per day, munitions on board of the Carrier Strike Groups will be exhausted in 5 days of severe combat. Hence despite Hegseth’s bold statement of unlimited munitions in the US Military, the Abraham Lincoln has already retreated far away into the Indian Ocean from the firing range of Iranian missiles. As regards Diego Garcia, initially the British have withhold permission for US employment but after the RAF Akrotiri received an Iranian drone attack, the British finally allowed Diego Garcia air base for US employment but only for defensive purpose.

Logistically, a restricted access of Diego Garcia’s port facilities would mean US Military resupplies would have to move further to either Djibouti, French La Reunion or Singapore. This would mean a resupply turn around time be further extended from 21 days for Diego Garcia to 60 days for any of the 3 aforementioned bases. (Fig. 4).


Now how likely will permission be given to US to prolong an illegitimate war and consequent oil and gas supplies disaster. Can there really be a ground invasion  by US into Iran when Naval and air support to the US ground forces will disappear every 60 days for each 5 days availability.

There are few viable options available to the Empire, for the time being, US need to employ the long range B52 bombers directly from US mainland to keep up with some kind of attack momentum on Iran. The US maintains an inventory of approximately 65,000 of these 500 lbs bombs, and 10,000 each of the 1000 and 2000 lbs bombs with annual production of approximately 30,000 in total. What Sec Hegseth boasted about unlimited supplies was likely to be these unguided gravity bombs that had to be carried by Long Range Strategic Bombers in a 4 days turn around cycle from Louisiana with necessity of aerial refueling. (Fig. 5) 


What has not been plainly explained is Iran has also been equipped with Chinese HQ-9B anti-air missiles that can easily take down all incoming B52.

(ii) Acceleration of American Isolationism - As Iran exertss a stranglehold on energy flows to US allies and apply pressure against the economy of the Gulf states, we are already seeing US and Israel have to combat Iran strictly on their own strength. Billions of US$ investment in military hardware by the GCC have gone to ruins within one week in an unwanted war invited on their shores by US just to protect Israel. Their immediate reaction is a withdrawal from funding Trump Board of Peace and Sayonara to an alternative to UN to be run on US terms. Next in line is the THAAD System in Korea will be diverted to the war zone in the Middle East.  (Fig. 6).


Carney arrived in Australia and shook hands with Albanese for mutual self preservation. The impact of a global energy crisis, economic recession and disappointment with a US failure to maintain a uni-polar world order would mean nations even previously allied to US would need to pull funds out of USD Assets for emergencies at home. Total foreign portfolio investments in US as at December 2025 amounted to US$36..6 trillion. (Fig. 7).

Without the Iranian war and energy crisis,  the Fed already had to print $40 billion a month for liquidity support. I expect there will be a torrent of withdrawals which would easily exceed 5 times the current level of Fed printing. My friends please be forewarned and take precautionary measures.

(iii) Homeland Insecurity -  Trump had just fired Kristi Noem as Secretary for Homeland Security (Fig. 8)


and replaced by Senator Markwayne Mullin, a businessman/politician with no known skills and experience in the security domain.(Fig. 9).

 Against a background of the Iranian Clerics have just declared a jihad against US and Israel, it appears the appointment of a rookie in Homeland Security on increased risk of asymmetric homeland attacks is very ill advised. (Fig. 10)   

 

2. Preparation: Early this week my son called a family meeting to discuss how should our family prepare for a possible fuel crisis and the consequential supply shortages. Our family always have a tradition of a well stocked pantry and so do not see a need for immediate panic buying and we have avoided the USD for years. My expectation is there will be a short term panic because a majority has bought into the lies and propaganda of an invincible US Empire and there will be a rude awakening. The Iranians would not negotiate because there is no trust. The Russians will not negotiate for the same reason. What remains is unguided gravity bombs by US B52 against targeted strike by Iran to drive US out of Middle East. There would not be a US ground invasion and a new security architecture will eventually emerge. Hyperinflation will begin in 2026 due to relentless currency printing. My family will dust off old files and inventory lists to better stock essential supplies. We intend to orderly stock up once we get rid of non-essentials that have cluttered our lives.

Luke 21:34  "But take heed to yourselves, lest your hearts be weighed down with carousing, drunkenness, and cares of this life, and that Day come on you unexpectedly. 35  For it will come as a snare on all those who dwell on the face of the whole earth. 36  Watch therefore, and pray always that you may be counted worthy to escape all these things that will come to pass, and to stand before the Son of Man."